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Will Club Kid win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?

No99%
Yes1%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$389.9
Spread2%
ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Fjord win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket51% NoOpen
Will Fatherland win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Obsession win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket92% NoOpen
Will Digger win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will The Drama win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Josephine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will The Invite win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will The Black Ball win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Forgotten Island win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will A Place in Hell win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will The Odyssey win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Elsinore win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket93% NoOpen
Will The Debut win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket78% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 10:21 PM UTC