Will Miami (FL) make College Football Playoff Semifinals?

No60%
Yes40%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Liquidity$1.3K
Spread6%
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Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team reaches the semifinal round of the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "semifinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which four teams remain (the winners of the four quarterfinal games). A team counts as reaching the semifinals if it is scheduled to play in a semifinal game by winning its quarterfinal game. If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the semifinal round is not played by January 28, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi specifies resolution by January 24, 2027, while Polymarket permits resolution through January 28, 2027 and identifies official CFP information or credible reporting as sources. Polymarket also expressly provides a No rule if the playoff is canceled or semifinals are not played; these are resolution-rule differences, not different questions.
  • KalshiOpen →

    College Football Playoff Semifinals Qualifiers: Will Miami (FL) qualify for the College Football Playoff Semifinals in the 2026-27 season?

    If Miami (FL) qualifies for the College Football Playoff Semifinals in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 1, 12:09 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Miami (FL) make College Football Playoff Semifinals?

    This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team reaches the semifinal round of the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "semifinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which four teams remain (the winners of the four quarterfinal games). A team counts as reaching the semifinals if it is scheduled to play in a semifinal game by winning its quarterfinal game. If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the semifinal round is not played by January 28, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    13 holders · 0 comments · read Oct 1, 12:38 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Alabama make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket77% NoOpen
Will Arizona St. make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket86% NoOpen
Will Arizona make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will Baylor make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket93% NoOpen
Will Clemson make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will California make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket76% NoOpen
Will Georgia Tech make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will LSU make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket79% NoOpen
Will North Carolina St. make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will Miami (OH) make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket91% NoOpen
Will Notre Dame make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket54% NoOpen
Will Oklahoma St. make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will Oregon make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket82% NoOpen
Will Ohio St. make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket55% NoOpen
Will South Carolina make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will TCU make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket86% NoOpen
Will SMU make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket86% NoOpen
Will Tennessee make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket86% NoOpen
Will Texas A&M make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will Texas Tech make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket88% NoOpen
Will USC make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will Utah make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will Virginia make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket82% NoOpen
Will Washington make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket90% NoOpen
Will Virginia Tech make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket90% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders13
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
Comments0

Top holders

  • 0x38d5a13ef8e32d5e5a808ceba52d6ac78d4c063c30418781775067111305898013800963931879351016583070528706362343892029838149621
  • MambaKobe30418781775067111305898013800963931879351016583070528706362343892029838149621
  • pootytherewardfarmer30418781775067111305898013800963931879351016583070528706362343892029838149621
  • Slow-Exhibit8076581867326141997442807051112065538592984828939832088073867155688716067784
  • limearbs8076581867326141997442807051112065538592984828939832088073867155688716067784

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL45%$4.56 days ago
  • BUY36%$8.48 days ago
  • BUY36%$6.210 days ago
  • BUY36%$4.312 days ago
  • BUY36%$3.813 days ago
  • SELL65%$35.819 days ago

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As of Oct 1, 01:14 PM UTC