Will Illinois make College Football Playoff Semifinals?

No88%
Yes12%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$53.3
Spread13%
ResolvesJan 29, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team reaches the semifinal round of the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "semifinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which four teams remain (the winners of the four quarterfinal games). A team counts as reaching the semifinals if it is scheduled to play in a semifinal game by winning its quarterfinal game. If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the semifinal round is not played by January 28, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. The venues use different resolution deadlines (January 24 versus January 29, 2027) and Polymarket provides explicit official-source, cancellation, and semifinal definitions; Kalshi publishes no comparable source criteria. These are resolution-rule differences, not differences in the underlying question.
  • KalshiOpen →

    College Football Playoff Semifinals Qualifiers: Will Illinois qualify for the College Football Playoff Semifinals in the 2026-27 season?

    If Illinois qualifies for the College Football Playoff Semifinals in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Sep 29, 08:26 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Illinois make College Football Playoff Semifinals?

    This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team reaches the semifinal round of the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "semifinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which four teams remain (the winners of the four quarterfinal games). A team counts as reaching the semifinals if it is scheduled to play in a semifinal game by winning its quarterfinal game. If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the semifinal round is not played by January 28, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    2 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 29, 08:01 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Georgia make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket55% NoOpen
Will Alabama make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket81% NoOpen
Will Arizona St. make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket75% NoOpen
Will Arizona make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket82% NoOpen
Will Baylor make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will BYU make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will Florida St. make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will Clemson make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will Florida make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket81% NoOpen
Will James Madison make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will Missouri make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will North Carolina St. make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket86% NoOpen
Will Michigan make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket75% NoOpen
Will Ohio St. make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket56% NoOpen
Will South Carolina make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will SMU make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket86% NoOpen
Will Texas A&M make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will Tulane make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will Texas Tech make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket86% NoOpen
Will Kentucky make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will USC make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket86% NoOpen
Will North Texas make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket75% NoOpen
Will Utah make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket86% NoOpen
Will Washington make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will Virginia Tech make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Polymarket87% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders2
Held value—
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Comments0

Top holders

  • lolzzzlol42169315186757548071377927550634470783548135722489236203655203207838156891943
  • DuneMentat98222575469716732877016683162096800646009125565652621786904540329247583783337

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Recent trades

  • BUY24%$4.811 days ago
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As of Sep 29, 11:50 PM UTC