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Will Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?

No86%
Yes14%

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24h volume$344.3
7d volume$344.3
30d volume$544.1
Liquidity$190
Spread21%
ResolvesJun 7, 2027in 8 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Polymarket69% YesOpen
Will Célida Teresa López Cárdenas win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Javier Lamarque Cano win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Polymarket86% NoOpen
Will Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Natalia Rivera Grijalva win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Froylán Gámez Gamboa win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will María Dolores del Río Sánchez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Omar del Valle Colosio win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Heriberto Aguilar Castillo win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Damián Zepeda Vidales win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Ernesto Gándara Camou win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Lilly Téllez García win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Rogelio Díaz Brown win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Víctor Hugo Celaya win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Guadalupe María Soto win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Patricia Mercado Castro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Manuel Scott Sánchez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Polymarket99% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 11:21 PM UTC