Will The Blood of Dawnwalker win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?

No85%
Yes16%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$942.1
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Narrative. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Narrative when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies official Game Awards information and fallback rules for non-nomination, ties, or no declared winner; Kalshi publishes no comparable detailed criteria. Their listed resolution times also differ, but this is a settlement-time difference for the same underlying fact.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will The Blood of Dawnwalker win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?

    The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Narrative. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Narrative when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    14 holders · 4 comments · read Sep 25, 11:38 AM UTC

  • KalshiOpen →

    Game Awards: Best Narrative: Will The Blood of Dawnwalker win the 2026 Game Award for Best Narrative?

    If The Blood of Dawnwalker has won Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Game Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Sep 29, 10:28 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will 007 First Light win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Polymarket92% NoOpen
Will Esoteric Ebb win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Schrödinger's Call win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will Titanium Court win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Wax Heads win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will OPUS: Prism Peak win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Mixtape win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Life Is Strange: Reunion win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Resident Evil Requiem win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Reanimal win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Pragmata win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Mouse: P.I. For Hire win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Polymarket68% NoOpen
Will Marvel's Wolverine win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Silent Hill: Townfall win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Polymarket91% NoOpen
Will Resonance: A Plague Tale Legacy win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will The Sinking City 2 win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Onimusha: Way of the Sword win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Fire Emblem: Fortune's Weave win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Phonopolis win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Control Resonant win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Polymarket95% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders14
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments4

Best bid 84% · best ask 85%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296611588932033140951949506371930424949012000002664702254584026005855321474800152
  • Dr.PNL41696145580059984555200121271382454363107594544556079439732934343704325984583
  • AJSV41696145580059984555200121271382454363107594544556079439732934343704325984583
  • Pointed-Wilderness41696145580059984555200121271382454363107594544556079439732934343704325984583
  • ForestWindy41696145580059984555200121271382454363107594544556079439732934343704325984583

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL17%$0.45 days ago
  • SELL18%$1.45 days ago
  • BUY14%$1.16 days ago
  • SELL11%$1.16 days ago
  • SELL16%$6.48 days ago
  • SELL17%$45.68 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

4 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • SIMOMEGA · 26 days ago

    GTA 6 isnt even out yet

  • Conciliator · 28 days ago

    Blood of Dawnwalker is winning this one no question. It's the best story game since Expedition 33.

  • Conciliator · 28 days ago

    Nah

  • Joacogms · last month

    GTA 6 sweep?

As of Sep 30, 12:10 AM UTC