PolymarketOpen

Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2028?

No85%
Yes15%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$11.4K
Spread2%
ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 22Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?Polymarket85% YesOpen
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028?Polymarket52% NoOpen
Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2028?Polymarket72% NoOpen
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2028?Polymarket82% NoOpen
Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2028?Polymarket63% NoOpen
Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028?Polymarket86% NoOpen
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2028?Polymarket59% YesOpen
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?Polymarket90% NoOpen
Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2028?Polymarket83% NoOpen
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2028?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket88% NoOpen
Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2028?Polymarket82% NoOpen
Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket80% NoOpen
Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket76% NoOpen
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket65% YesOpen
Will Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket88% NoOpen
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket84% NoOpen
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket52% NoOpen
Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket92% NoOpen
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket72% NoOpen
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket82% NoOpen
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket79% NoOpen
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2028?Polymarket89% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 29, 08:28 PM UTC