Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | Polymarket | 91% No | Open |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | Polymarket | 71% No | Open |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%? | Polymarket | 88% No | Open |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%? | Polymarket | 69% No | Open |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 4 minutes agoBest bid 4% · best ask 10%
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296683897649206122342808700715646945748638187424375138759187545811682060405255547
- InterestingUser83897649206122342808700715646945748638187424375138759187545811682060405255547
- HibernatingParasite78707877367835773752112963826616740089702756046506863043639633316839331961538
- System-Error40478707877367835773752112963826616740089702756046506863043639633316839331961538
- DontCryMontreal78707877367835773752112963826616740089702756046506863043639633316839331961538
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As of Sep 30, 05:34 AM UTC