Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?
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Probability history
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Resolution rules
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will two people dissent the January Fed decision? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Will no one dissent the January Fed decision? | Polymarket | 51% No | Open |
| Will three people dissent the January Fed decision? | Polymarket | 74% No | Open |
| Will four or more people dissent the January Fed decision? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 09:33 PM UTC