PolymarketOpen

Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?

No79%
Yes21%

Price checked at

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24h volume$3
7d volume$674.7
30d volume$860.7
Liquidity$3.2K
Spread2%
ResolvesJan 28, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will two people dissent the January Fed decision?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?Polymarket51% NoOpen
Will three people dissent the January Fed decision?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will four or more people dissent the January Fed decision?Polymarket98% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 09:33 PM UTC