Will voters pick the Colt M1911 .45 automatic Colt pistol (.45 ACP) as the state gun of Idaho?

No86%
Yes15%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Liquidity$12.7K
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 4, 2026next month

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The Idaho Official State Gun Question is an advisory ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would inform the state legislature as to the voters' choice for a state gun. This market will resolve according to the winner of the Idaho Official State Gun Question in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”. The named options will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more options are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the options. This market will resolve to the option that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Idaho, including the Idaho Secretary of State (https://sos.idaho.gov/).

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies alphabetical tie-breaking and a March 31, 2027 fallback, while Kalshi allows accelerated determination based on media consensus and settles at an earlier stated time. These are resolution-rule differences, not differences in the underlying question.
  • KalshiOpen →

    Which firearm will receive the most votes in Idaho's State Gun advisory question?: Who will win the 2026 Idaho Official State Gun advisory vote? Colt M1911 .45 automatic Colt pistol (.45 ACP)

    If Colt M1911 .45 automatic Colt pistol (.45 ACP) wins the 2026 Idaho Official State Gun advisory vote, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

    read Sep 29, 10:49 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Will voters pick the Colt M1911 .45 automatic Colt pistol (.45 ACP) as the state gun of Idaho?

    The Idaho Official State Gun Question is an advisory ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would inform the state legislature as to the voters' choice for a state gun. This market will resolve according to the winner of the Idaho Official State Gun Question in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”. The named options will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more options are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the options. This market will resolve to the option that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Idaho, including the Idaho Secretary of State (https://sos.idaho.gov/).

    14 holders · 3 comments · read Sep 28, 06:55 PM UTC

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Holders14
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Comments3

Top holders

  • Spectrum6924455095907963573051502887462435831731719274256840288124452447119929031025
  • LornaPredicts90533798948940799568887234231583783139815657546007584030627613627728154483224
  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b129666924455095907963573051502887462435831731719274256840288124452447119929031025
  • Dr.PNL90533798948940799568887234231583783139815657546007584030627613627728154483224
  • b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.90533798948940799568887234231583783139815657546007584030627613627728154483224

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Discussion on Predxy

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3 comments

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  • Little-Anguish · yesterday

    I mean, these are the options on the ballot.

  • Unlawful-Mustache · 3 days ago

    whoever made this doesnt know much about guns

  • Little-Anguish · last month

    yo, I don't even know what any of these things look like gambling is fun!

As of Sep 29, 11:19 PM UTC