Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
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Probability history
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Senator votes "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: https://polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088 The qualifying vote is the first vote on final passage of the bill in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment. This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, or if the named Senator does not vote "Yea" on the qualifying vote for any reason - including voting "Nay," voting "Present," being absent, being paired, or no longer serving in the Senate at the time of the vote. Once the vote has closed and the result has been announced, any subsequent request by the named Senator to add, remove, or change their vote will not be considered for purposes of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally. This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov) and Library of Congress (http://congress.gov).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | Polymarket | 91% No | Open |
| Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
| Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
| Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
| Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | Polymarket | 91% No | Open |
| Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
| Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | Polymarket | 89% No | Open |
| Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | Polymarket | 89% No | Open |
| Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
| Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | Polymarket | 91% No | Open |
| Will Alex Padilla vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | Polymarket | 91% No | Open |
| Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
| Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | Polymarket | 91% No | Open |
| Will Andy Kim vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
Venue activity
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1 comment
From Polymarket's own thread- Prof.Money-Exterminator · 14 days ago
Yea
As of Sep 29, 09:23 PM UTC