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Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31?

No64%
Yes36%

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24h volume$14
7d volume$129.5
30d volume$484
Liquidity$167.1
Spread28%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rubén Rocha Moya is extradited to the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Extradited to the United States” means Rocha Moya is physically transferred to U.S. government custody pursuant to an extradition process or equivalent custody transfer process. If Rocha Moya otherwise enters U.S. territory and is subsequently arrested or taken into U.S. government custody by the market’s end date, this will also qualify. An announcement that extradition has been requested, approved, ordered, or agreed to will not qualify unless Rocha Moya is physically transferred to, arrested by, or otherwise taken into U.S. government custody by the market’s end date. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rubén Rocha Moya, the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa, the United States government, and relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue activity

Holders30
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments28

Best bid 27% · best ask 38%

Top holders

  • 0x0742a3845e01ffe9042367f282e9517b48d21b48100548640345062706530515224108719690499845087777950952285304131108655347761069
  • SusanWarrenHR6050142884101337654473808807634899363229084178085205347165398758559437831335
  • buzzedballs6050142884101337654473808807634899363229084178085205347165398758559437831335
  • Vast-Myth100548640345062706530515224108719690499845087777950952285304131108655347761069
  • Honored-Utility100548640345062706530515224108719690499845087777950952285304131108655347761069

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL34%$17.76 days ago
  • BUY73%$111 days ago
  • BUY33%$3.713 days ago
  • BUY61%$1.816 days ago
  • SELL60%$317 days ago
  • SELL56%$2.517 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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28 comments

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  • Classic-Darkness · 3 months ago

    que facil se gana dinero con estas cosas

  • Classic-Darkness · 3 months ago

    pues estas bien sonso porque no los extraditaron, ellos se fueron por cuenta propia que es muy diferente, yo ya gane dinero

  • pablum · 3 months ago

    Bueno. Ninguna de las dos cosas va a ocurrir en junio.

  • Constant-Approach · 3 months ago

    de todos modos se haría la proposición: If Rocha Moya otherwise enters U.S. territory and is subsequently arrested or taken into U.S. government custody by the market’s end date, this will also qualify.

  • pablum · 3 months ago

    Rumors that he'll turn himself in, but that's not extradition.

  • Constant-Approach · 3 months ago

    Yep, i dont understand this price movement

  • CarlosTrejo2308 · 3 months ago

    What just happened?

  • pablum · 4 months ago

    LOL

  • Untidy-Worth · 4 months ago

    Did you mean FGR...?

  • elmesias · 4 months ago

    la PGR es la cosa más patito y corrupta de México nada le van a hacer jajaja

  • GoldMinerDaniel · 4 months ago

    si no lo extraditan es un NO

  • GoldMinerDaniel · 4 months ago

    no lo extraditaron, se fueron por ellos mismos, te recomendaria el No, yo creo que 1 mes y lo de el mundial no pasara mientras nada

  • Aggravating-Anatomy · 4 months ago

    The National General Procurement Agency called Rocha to make a statement today regarding the US accusation.

  • NeblinaTrader · 4 months ago

    Sinaloa Politician's accounts have been frozen by Mexico's FIU

  • bearbees2 · 4 months ago

    wtf aenews ?

  • Svelte-Type · 5 months ago

    Soy Mexicano, acaban de extraditar a dos personas de su Gabinete, incluyendo al de seguridad pública que no me extrañaría que confesara crímenes de Rocha para poder reducir su sentencia

  • StillWater0 · 5 months ago

    están contados los días de estos corruptos!

  • whhy · 5 months ago

    Rochas house in Culiacan attacked by armed gunmen - breaking on X as of 11:30 PST 5/9/26

  • Hogfish · 5 months ago

    Netenyaho has an arrest warrant. Maybe usa will grab him too.

  • random123456 · 5 months ago

    Correct, if his life gets ended, it solves to no, only if they Ride and capture him, even in mexico, it's a yes

As of Sep 30, 04:05 AM UTC