PolymarketOpen

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by September 30, 2026?

No100%
Yes0%

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24h volume$2
7d volume$643.8
30d volume$1.1K
Liquidity$11.1K
Spread0%
ResolvesOct 1, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Polymarket68% YesOpen

Venue activity

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Comments13

Discussion on Predxy

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13 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • Tingo2026 · last month

    中国可以算是全世界最讲外交礼仪和政治规矩的国家。APEC领导人峰会,该向谁发邀请,一个都不会少。至于对方来不来,来了之后能和谁见面、能和谁握手、能和谁讲话,又是另一回事。

  • wowannima · last month

    性情了兄弟

  • OneDollarBot · last month

    Well, APEC, ASEAN, G20, you name it.

  • 1660S.eth · 3 months ago

    you know nothing about china

  • StraddleSeller · 3 months ago

    An impromptu handshake at APEC is sufficient, no need for a meeting. See Xi-Trudeau in the 2022 summit

  • Ning0049 · 3 months ago

    Definitely

  • Vibrant-Polarisation · 3 months ago

    they will meet and shake hands in Shenzhen

  • 1660S.eth · 4 months ago

    不是 小日子不改口 不给台阶下 能见着面?

  • AndrewMa · 5 months ago

    easy one

  • AndrewMa · 5 months ago

    very

  • Chims · 5 months ago

    头铁

  • fuyangz · 5 months ago

    no chance

  • toutiege · 5 months ago

    不可能发生 哪怕有机会见面也不会互动

As of Sep 29, 11:26 PM UTC