Will Xi meet with Takaichi by September 30, 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 68% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
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13 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Tingo2026 · last month
中国可以算是全世界最讲外交礼仪和政治规矩的国家。APEC领导人峰会,该向谁发邀请,一个都不会少。至于对方来不来,来了之后能和谁见面、能和谁握手、能和谁讲话,又是另一回事。
- wowannima · last month
性情了兄弟
- OneDollarBot · last month
Well, APEC, ASEAN, G20, you name it.
- 1660S.eth · 3 months ago
you know nothing about china
- StraddleSeller · 3 months ago
An impromptu handshake at APEC is sufficient, no need for a meeting. See Xi-Trudeau in the 2022 summit
- Ning0049 · 3 months ago
Definitely
- Vibrant-Polarisation · 3 months ago
they will meet and shake hands in Shenzhen
- 1660S.eth · 4 months ago
不是 小日子不改口 不给台阶下 能见着面?
- AndrewMa · 5 months ago
easy one
- AndrewMa · 5 months ago
very
- Chims · 5 months ago
头铁
- fuyangz · 5 months ago
no chance
- toutiege · 5 months ago
不可能发生 哪怕有机会见面也不会互动
As of Sep 29, 11:26 PM UTC