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PolymarketOpen

Macron out by December 31, 2026?

No97%
Yes3%

Price checked at

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24h volume$184.1
7d volume$837.4
30d volume$6.4K
Liquidity$26.3K
Spread4%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Venue activity

Holders47
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments94

Best bid 96% · best ask 96%

Top holders

  • Trashbag58364840349378772688107584033558046878148460808736792786882559349343926878328
  • alfredoyunes92851423033817768518321486213778110446684071477423410956369859539830113572619
  • earthStones92851423033817768518321486213778110446684071477423410956369859539830113572619
  • Agyapro92851423033817768518321486213778110446684071477423410956369859539830113572619
  • Vietnam758364840349378772688107584033558046878148460808736792786882559349343926878328

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY96%$19.26 days ago
  • BUY96%$34.76 days ago
  • BUY5%$26 days ago
  • SELL95%$3.47 days ago
  • SELL95%$3.47 days ago
  • SELL95%$3.47 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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94 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • DontTrustMe · 3 months ago

    Bit pointless tbh. Macron will finish his second term, there is no uncertainty.

  • LorenzoVM · 6 months ago

    Could we open december 31st and eventually another one later ?

  • LasourceX · 7 months ago

    Le frérot il parle tout seul

  • Matezzi · 7 months ago

    Laisses, il est taré

  • Lucaasaas · 9 months ago

    c'est quoi un call safu ?

  • weixian · 11 months ago

    Macron will step down early, but with all the protests and politics, who knows what could happen before his term ends.

  • stockgold · 11 months ago

    *forcener

  • stockgold · 11 months ago

    2 et 9% c est ridicule, il y a des calls safu encore plus gourmands ! Foncez la bas, laissez-moi me goinfrer comme un force.

  • stockgold · 11 months ago

    mais vous comprennez donc rien

  • stockgold · 11 months ago

    frere tu habites meme pas en france de quoi tu me parles

  • stockgold · 11 months ago

    petit joueur, si tu crois en ta conviction pose moi un bon 10k

  • stockgold · 11 months ago

    Macron le despot reste dictateur de la france jusqu'en 2059

  • stockgold · 11 months ago

    bounggaaaaaaa

  • Round-Gorilla · 11 months ago

    Macron ne tiendra pas jusqu'a decembre, 20 USD sur cette annee

  • DamienFrost · 11 months ago

    Macron's forced exit by summer 2026 amid pension riots and EU budget woes could hand the reins to a populist firebrand eager to torch Brussels' fiscal orthodoxy.

  • dodolord · 11 months ago

    it's free

  • Wermer · 11 months ago

    Macarons are delicious

  • Ulyssesy · 11 months ago

    French Rose

  • ajtsoK · 11 months ago

    I HATE FRENCH bureaucracy

  • Giorgio2 · 12 months ago

    Yes. It’s a death market now

As of Sep 29, 09:30 PM UTC