Lecornu out as French PM by September 30, 2026?

Budget 2027 : « [...] le suspense est faible, pour ne pas dire inexistant, il y aura une censure » (Olivier Faure) 🧐

I doubt it, PS won’t vote the two motions de censure. So there wont be enough votes to kick him out.

Il est tristoune le marche du lecornu out par rapport a octobre/novembre dernier. Y'a quasi 0 volume la 🫤

Bye bye Lecornu

Non confidence vote rejected.

In the coming hours, Lecornu will face two motions of censure. They will probably be rejected, but let’s keep our eyes open. [link removed]

awesome

Lecornu ne va jamais partir. jamais. Moi vivant, jamais.

le vote d'aujourd'hui est tout sauf une victoire pour le gouvernement etant donne l'attitude d'horizons et des lr. jamais un tel budget ne pourra etre vote

Frankenstein budget by right and left wing socialists. No validation to be expected from the gov. And yet any reasonable budget imposed top down would end in censor. No way out of the crisis imho

Lecornu's abrupt ouster as French PM by mid-2026 is sparking cabinet reshuffles that could either stabilize Macron's lame-duck era or plunge Paris into deeper coalition chaos.

Not if, when

Lecornu will not fall this year France need a budget before

Superbe analyse ! C'est tellement vrai !

(this hot mess is obviously far from being over, next question to answer is: what happens if the first part of the 2026 budget bill is rejected in first reading?)

The PS is putting most of the blame on the RN (and not on the government) for the failure of getting their tax measures passed. Good signal that in the short term, they are ok to still support Lecornu's government. They didn't threaten to vote a "motion de censure" today.

gg ez

lmaoooooooooooooo

Obviously it's now too late for the October 31th bet to work out, but the situation is still a hot mess at the moment. The tax proposals of the PS are getting discussed and put to a vote today. Olivier Faure met with Sebastien Lecornu today and declared thereafter that: "the meeting didn't result in any progress or agreement". On one side, I don't necessarly sense a strong willingness from the PS to take down the government. Plus general elections in December would less than ideal for various reasons. But on the other side, the PS kind of put themselves in an inextricable situation. They simply don't hold enough power to force the National Assembly and the Senate to adopt a budget that they claim would be "acceptable" according to them.

I agree that it is almost over for the 31st of October deadline. But that being said, if Lecornu considers that he is politically doomed, he might not wait a formal vote to resign. Even more since yesterday, it has become fairly obvious that the budget that will end up being passed is not the one currently discussed and amended in the National Assembly. So the question here: is the PS really fine with that?