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Will at least 5 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?

No99%
Yes1%

Price checked at

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24h volume$20
7d volume$289.8
30d volume$1.1K
Liquidity$11.6K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 27, 2026in 28 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier. This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market. Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count. A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders30
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments8

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296639391291263924548825088404848723816450856567173444997284484416956641648280588
  • balthazar81860238192072578751252913928035210625756009371583956312877143198174728008381
  • TelAvivQuant81860238192072578751252913928035210625756009371583956312877143198174728008381
  • e46m381860238192072578751252913928035210625756009371583956312877143198174728008381
  • LornaPredicts81860238192072578751252913928035210625756009371583956312877143198174728008381

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL0%$019 days ago
  • SELL0%$020 days ago
  • BUY0%$0.820 days ago
  • BUY0%$027 days ago
  • BUY0%$027 days ago
  • BUY0%$027 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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8 comments

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  • TheJewishHammer · 23 days ago

    נכון. בסוף כולנו אחים. לא משנה האמונה. העיקר שניהיה טובים אחד לשני

  • ophphirmatatu · 26 days ago

    כפרה עליך, אח יקר ❤️

  • TheJewishHammer · 26 days ago

    לא אכזבת אותי. הכל טוב. הכי חשוב, בריאות איתנה

  • ophphirmatatu · last month

    מר פטיש היקר, אני מצטער לאכזב אותך אבל אלוהים לא קיים, הוא הומצא בשנת 1560 לפני הספירה על ידי אנשים כנענים

  • TheJewishHammer · last month

    Like I always say. There are only two things that are for sure. God and death. As for the death, I'm not sure!

  • TheJewishHammer · last month

    Thank you, my friend

  • HolyMoses7 · 2 months ago

    yes

  • TheJewishHammer · 2 months ago

    What is 0? No election untill the end of the year?

As of Sep 29, 07:22 PM UTC