PolymarketOpen

Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

No99%
Yes1%

Price checked at

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24h volume$1.3K
7d volume$1.8K
30d volume$10.9K
Liquidity$727.2
Spread1%
ResolvesDec 1, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Polymarket63% YesOpen
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Polymarket69% NoOpen
Will there be 7+ hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
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As of Sep 29, 08:29 PM UTC