Will A Just Russia win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tomsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tomsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will CPRF win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will New People win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will LDPR win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 8 days agoBest bid 100% · best ask —
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966102303016343673015499491273155205349017791258339917114276158515703119501281064
- 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.63525400676644337475777922605293589091564074399004798942333959219273947267126
- Deafening-Possible63525400676644337475777922605293589091564074399004798942333959219273947267126
- TENETENET63525400676644337475777922605293589091564074399004798942333959219273947267126
- sanduspace63525400676644337475777922605293589091564074399004798942333959219273947267126
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY100%$21.68 days ago
- SELL0%$09 days ago
- SELL0%$010 days ago
- SELL0%$010 days ago
- SELL0%$010 days ago
- BUY100%$2028 days ago
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As of Sep 30, 09:02 PM UTC