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Will Sebastian Stan win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

No98%
Yes2%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$11K
Spread1%
ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Ryan Gosling win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket64% NoOpen
Will Pedro Pascal win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket79% NoOpen
Will Jeremy Strong win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will John Turturro win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Javier Bardem win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Robert Aramayo win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Adam Driver win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Josh O'Connor win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket75% NoOpen
Will Sam Rockwell win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Brad Pitt win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Jaafar Jackson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket93% NoOpen

Venue activity

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Comments4

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4 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • Seldonator · last month

    Where is Ellen Page?

  • Nigosh · 2 months ago

    they added him but the no has no odds

  • DRedzzz · 2 months ago

    good question

  • Nigosh · 2 months ago

    Where is Robert Pattinson

As of Sep 29, 10:15 PM UTC