Will Riina Kionka be the next President of Estonia?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Estonia is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on September 2, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Estonia by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Estonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Estonia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jonatan Vseviov be the next President of Estonia? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Mart Helme be the next President of Estonia? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Hannes Hanso be the next President of Estonia? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Maive Rute be the next President of Estonia? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Indrek Tarand be the next President of Estonia? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Indrek Laul be the next President of Estonia? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Riho Ühtegi be the next President of Estonia? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | Polymarket | 98% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 8 days agoBest bid — · best ask 0%
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296695881555582538941190674407343146490212546162642888465089728309213961194365350
- sleepymonkey47437652377377775828270776004646417757581160677782901845857038490409058724850
- Nopants95881555582538941190674407343146490212546162642888465089728309213961194365350
- e46m347437652377377775828270776004646417757581160677782901845857038490409058724850
- Attached-Prairie47437652377377775828270776004646417757581160677782901845857038490409058724850
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL100%$8.519 days ago
- BUY100%$5.528 days ago
- SELL100%$128 days ago
- BUY100%$8.528 days ago
- BUY100%$152.728 days ago
- BUY100%$128 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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2 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- archaic · 12 days ago
Crazy thought: if Russia mobilizes and invades Estonia, would Madise's inauguration get postponed?
- seaviewablue · last month
100% madise
As of Sep 30, 12:21 PM UTC