PolymarketOpen

Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Isaias?

No72%
Yes28%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$84.4
7d volume$730.3
30d volume$1.2K
Liquidity$219.7
Spread13%
ResolvesNov 30, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named. All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml). This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Dolly?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Omar?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Paulette?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Rene?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Teddy?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Sally?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Vicky?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Wilfred?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Hanna?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Edouard?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will there be no hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?Polymarket56% YesOpen
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Gonzalo?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Josephine?Polymarket79% NoOpen
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Marco?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Kyle?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Leah?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Cristobal?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Nana?Polymarket99% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments1

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

1 comment

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • Djik · last month

    30 November, 23:59:59 UTC-6, and 188 km/h in non retarded units.

As of Sep 29, 11:14 PM UTC