Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting? | Polymarket | 83% Yes | Open |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 6 days agoBest bid 27% · best ask 28%
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296631781379601311807133850360692097371653462734730366372276023555613586655340665
- 750S101074810215896413612751017377598399085380640616093362390853615821313867000665
- shiva5931781379601311807133850360692097371653462734730366372276023555613586655340665
- AndreiDmitr101074810215896413612751017377598399085380640616093362390853615821313867000665
- akalen101074810215896413612751017377598399085380640616093362390853615821313867000665
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL27%$5.46 days ago
- BUY74%$3.76 days ago
- SELL28%$2.86 days ago
- BUY28%$5.66 days ago
- SELL72%$366 days ago
- BUY74%$7.47 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 29, 08:24 PM UTC