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Will Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra win the next Lima mayoral elections?

No100%
Yes0%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$16.2K
Spread0%
ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Santiago Rosendo Abarca León win the next Lima mayoral elections?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Jessica Viviana Linares Romero win the next Lima mayoral elections?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay win the next Lima mayoral elections?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Rubén José Ramírez Mateo win the next Lima mayoral elections?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Sandro Caller Gutiérrez win the next Lima mayoral elections?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino win the next Lima mayoral elections?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Flor de María Hurtado Valdez win the next Lima mayoral elections?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli win the next Lima mayoral elections?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés win the next Lima mayoral elections?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar win the next Lima mayoral elections?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza win the next Lima mayoral elections?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Segundo Valdez Zavala win the next Lima mayoral elections?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Samir Frank Quispe Caballero win the next Lima mayoral elections?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega win the next Lima mayoral elections?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Polymarket87% YesOpen
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?Polymarket91% NoOpen
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera win the next Lima mayoral elections?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Yehude Simón Munaro win the next Lima mayoral elections?Polymarket100% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders48
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments152

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296665879485800665402432550426863375949206475915474107326193975463660905797082337
  • InterestingUser69272889018275880903486564423242787313007441412448290469487432079483476950946
  • balthazar69272889018275880903486564423242787313007441412448290469487432079483476950946
  • Bigggggggg69272889018275880903486564423242787313007441412448290469487432079483476950946
  • Which-Deviance69272889018275880903486564423242787313007441412448290469487432079483476950946

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY100%$2.419 days ago
  • BUY100%$1019 days ago
  • BUY100%$1019 days ago
  • BUY100%$3019 days ago
  • BUY100%$1019 days ago
  • BUY100%$1019 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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152 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • WhaleWatch-57175 · 2 days ago

    InterestingUser is holding $1,096.23 on Person B with outcome Yes. That's whale-sized conviction. You copying or fading this trade?

  • K1KE · 2 days ago

    Si no te gusta te puedes ir pes

  • ThisBarneyTheDinosaur · 2 days ago

    Fuera progre CTM!! Ayy que la ley ayy que, votaste por Muñoz y Villarán no jodas mrda

  • Unipepe · 2 days ago

    Creo que prefiero que elijan a RLA que a cualquier candidato de izquierda, ¿pero ser fanático de un político que se equivoca tantas veces y habla pichulada y media? debe ser signo de enfermedad mental, eso eres pe, un chupapinga

  • ThisBarneyTheDinosaur · 2 days ago

    Jsjaj este progre 🐞 habla de moral y dignidad. Llora castillista CTM!!!

  • Unipepe · 2 days ago

    No soy progre pero tampoco soy chupapingas de un tipo que dice ser religioso y no tiene respeto ni moral, es mitómano y claramente tiene problemas de sustancias pero asumo que eso ya lo sabes, lo que pasa es que tu voto lo regalas porque no tienes dignidad.

  • ThisBarneyTheDinosaur · 2 days ago

    Llora progre rosqte 🐞

  • Unipepe · 2 days ago

    Tú y los demás chupapingas querrás decir

  • ThisBarneyTheDinosaur · 2 days ago

    Porky lidera en IPSOS, DATUM, CPI llegando a los 30 puntos practicamente doblando al segundo. Este 4 de Octubre marcamos la R en Lima y San Borja

  • angelito007 · 2 days ago

    Enseña pe, yo también tengo hambre

  • ZiK. · 3 days ago

    Con las últimas encuestas se demostró que no hay un competidor para Aliaga, se dispersaron mucho y lo mas probable es que gane, asuman su voto como dicen

  • ThisBarneyTheDinosaur · 3 days ago

    A llorar ustedes dos, viva el Porkysmo carajo 🐷

  • ZiK. · 3 days ago

    Jajaja

  • junif · 3 days ago

    Creo que subestimaste un poco la cantidad de cojudos que habitan en Lima y en el Peru XD. Ni modo, Lima potencia fecal

  • ThisBarneyTheDinosaur · 3 days ago

    Debes ir a la casa de Alfredo Torres

  • angelito007 · 3 days ago

    Dónde filtran encuestas ?

  • ThisBarneyTheDinosaur · 3 days ago

    Buenas noticias para Rafael "Porky 🐷" Lopez Aliaga en el simulacro final de Ipsos. Cierra la campaña con 26%, seguido de Bruce con 14 y Allison ahi nomas con 13. La fragmentación de su oposición continúa y con eso le basta. Todos Marcamos la R el 4 de Octubre

  • Unipepe · 3 days ago

    En una semana puede pasar cualquier cosa

  • K1KE · 3 days ago

    real

  • ElberG · 3 days ago

    VAMOS PORKY!, Hazme ganar!

As of Sep 29, 10:26 PM UTC