Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement). Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 5 days agoBest bid 3% · best ask 5%
Top holders
- yerubaalAA80394040796865442561882584674379436781359735389810092558278498070063808191043
- DorTovim80394040796865442561882584674379436781359735389810092558278498070063808191043
- egos27498497662268807059312849145030551050157323177016328868713123042161376251102
- Gentle-Thunderstorm-Jungle7498497662268807059312849145030551050157323177016328868713123042161376251102
- 0x6c104a31c105ab2573a42e0f178f961e4496df5c80394040796865442561882584674379436781359735389810092558278498070063808191043
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL4%$5.17 days ago
- BUY4%$1.67 days ago
- SELL4%$0.68 days ago
- SELL5%$0.58 days ago
- BUY95%$9.58 days ago
- BUY5%$4.810 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 30, 09:01 AM UTC