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Will StepFun have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?

No100%
Yes0%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$2K
Spread0%
ResolvesSep 30, 2026in 19 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Sourcehttps://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will SpaceXAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Xiaomi have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Nvidia have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will MiniMax have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Amazon have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will ByteDance have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Meituan have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Microsoft have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Tencent have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Polymarket98% YesOpen
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Polymarket98% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 09:09 PM UTC