Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Tate is released from government custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Tate is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Tate is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Andrew Tate to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 8 days agoBest bid 91% · best ask 92%
Top holders
- Sylvester.the.Cat44886536523187194068204780081456530701237321244412931776973158233298351926383
- Circular-Wifi98464460609021378291972453133184344691391392652068285241504600183219357738681
- thoodr44886536523187194068204780081456530701237321244412931776973158233298351926383
- humzasehbai98464460609021378291972453133184344691391392652068285241504600183219357738681
- radiobil98464460609021378291972453133184344691391392652068285241504600183219357738681
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY9%$9.711 days ago
- SELL91%$13.611 days ago
- BUY9%$313 days ago
- BUY9%$513 days ago
- SELL91%$64.113 days ago
- SELL91%$37.914 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
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61 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Werstie · 20 days ago
Bail was denied, and it wasn't close.
- MilkedPolitician726 · 29 days ago
What just happened?
- Mantzuraj · last month
Who the fuck was stupid enough to drop the August 31 No from 93 all the way down to 60% ????? I just wish I could have seen and went all in. Top G spot will be found by tyrone in prison forever
- Mantzuraj · last month
DONE, judge decision will be taken September 4. Fuck Peter War. See how I rhymed there? Hahaha
- Mantzuraj · last month
Already back to 96% No hahahaha. Tate fans get wrecked
- Prof.Money-Exterminator · last month
What are you doing for living?
- Mantzuraj · last month
Nice little touch you don't deny supporting trafficking. You're sick I got nothing more to say to you rot in hell
- PeterWar · last month
Ahaha keep crying bro u desperate peasent
- Mantzuraj · last month
Peter War calling me a worthless peasant then deleting his comment realizing he's cooked hahahaha. You retard you've been played. They'll never get out. And also you didn't double anything from your "investment" you didn't sell a single share. You're a pathetic loser supporting trafficking. Despicable
- Mantzuraj · last month
Vladimir Scorpius out here thinks he gon get bail hahahaha it's such an easy deny
- Prof.Money-Exterminator · last month
Ahahah so pathetic
- Prof.Money-Exterminator · last month
We are not done yet
- Mantzuraj · last month
Lol, we're they released? Judge shut their ass down real quick why you barking?
- PeterWar · last month
get fucked idiot. You're so low iq
- Werstie · last month
The judge rebutted the Tates attorneys saying she has to follow US law not romanian law
- Werstie · last month
"The brothers were wearing tan prison clothes and shackled for Thursday’s hearing. Their lawyers spent more than an hour arguing the U.K.’s request was out of line because their criminal case in Romania is going first and Romanian officials have let them remain free until the proceedings conclude. The judge reminded defense attorneys she has to follow U.S. laws."
- Mantzuraj · last month
hahahaha I love it
- Prof.Money-Exterminator · last month
DONT SAY A BAD WORD ABOUT TOP G. I LOVE THE WAY HE PERFORMS BALLET. #freeTate
- Mantzuraj · last month
It's been written in the stars ever since he got arrested. He's not getting out
- Prof.Money-Exterminator · last month
Court started. Nopers will cry in 1-3 hours😈
As of Sep 29, 10:27 PM UTC