Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?

No99%
Yes2%

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24h volume$125.9
7d volume$125.9
30d volume$4.4K
Liquidity$2.5K
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deepseek completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Deepseek is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria do not differ in any material way. Polymarket lists a settlement time of January 1, 2027, while PredictFun does not publish a settlement time; this does not change the question.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deepseek completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Deepseek is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

    28 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 29, 04:06 PM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deepseek completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Deepseek is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

    read Oct 1, 05:20 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?Polymarket79% YesOpen
Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?Polymarket57% NoOpen
Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?Polymarket67% YesOpen

Venue activity

Holders28
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Top holders

  • Admired-Sheep63415033741516002804606962289727709568212172983704288766076240842450318492582
  • BridgeLake40148324383705899375009786001285794919311158877197948022795706418588067169363
  • COOLBOY63415033741516002804606962289727709568212172983704288766076240842450318492582
  • thecaricature40148324383705899375009786001285794919311158877197948022795706418588067169363
  • 0x403f61717a77aa61320177cd991c3aa88576b88640148324383705899375009786001285794919311158877197948022795706418588067169363

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL1%$1.913 days ago
  • SELL2%$0.313 days ago
  • SELL2%$0.313 days ago
  • SELL2%$0.416 days ago
  • SELL98%$14.916 days ago
  • BUY98%$78.416 days ago

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As of Oct 1, 01:02 PM UTC