Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by December 31, 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the Bayeux Tapestry enters France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, entrance is defined as any portion of the Bayeux Tapestry physically entering the terrestrial territory of France. Whether or not it enters French airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. This market will remain open for seven days after the specified date to allow time for confirmation of the Tapestry's entrance into France. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by July 31, 2027? | Polymarket | 77% No | Open |
| Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by December 31, 2027? | Polymarket | 84% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 1, 05:14 AM UTC