PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat?

Yes78%

No23%

Price checked at Sep 30, 03:51 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$13.5K

Spread1%

ResolvesNov 4, 2026next month

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. Kalshi permits accelerated resolution after a media consensus, while Polymarket specifies credible reporting and, if ambiguous, official U.S. government/FEC results. Their stated resolution times differ, but both concern the November 3, 2026 election result.

KalshiOpen →
CA-34 House winner?: Who will win the 2026 CA-34 House election? Angela Gonzales-Torres
If Angela Gonzales-Torres wins the 2026 CA-34 House election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
read Sep 30, 10:23 AM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat?
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
33 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 30, 09:18 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?	Polymarket	82% No	$0.1	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 7 hours ago

Holders33

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 22% · best ask 23%

Top holders

Hyperlong19620835338485981047669795514975770479138184150194034997771754918988869102623
0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966107017847903771998110466995172251664350389350407016080932643197524988157900914
cigarettes107017847903771998110466995172251664350389350407016080932643197524988157900914
donthackme107017847903771998110466995172251664350389350407016080932643197524988157900914
reid9919620835338485981047669795514975770479138184150194034997771754918988869102623

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BUY77%$4.62 days ago
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SELL76%$33.42 days ago

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As of Sep 30, 04:16 PM UTC