PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat?

Yes94%

No6%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:12 PM UTC

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$26.2K

Spread1%

ResolvesNov 4, 2026next month

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. Polymarket uses credible-reporting consensus, with FEC results as the fallback; Kalshi permits accelerated determination after a media consensus projection. They otherwise concern the same election outcome.

Polymarketthis market
Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat?
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
25 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 26, 06:43 AM UTC
KalshiOpen →
CA-37 House winner?: Who will win the 2026 CA-37 House election? Sydney Kamlager-Dove
If Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins the 2026 CA-37 House election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
read Sep 29, 08:02 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Samantha Mota win the CA-37 House seat?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 4 days ago

Holders25

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 94% · best ask 94%

Top holders

SitsToPee114161125896249738613480553121776126431980435207515973381189528666318107961124
Dr.PNL44849463525033523063535911729331740875212511887504518780516541398066417913919
anciano114161125896249738613480553121776126431980435207515973381189528666318107961124
ghorrock44849463525033523063535911729331740875212511887504518780516541398066417913919
HerrieDavis44849463525033523063535911729331740875212511887504518780516541398066417913919

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY6%$3.98 days ago
SELL5%$1.811 days ago
SELL5%$114 days ago
SELL5%$114 days ago
BUY95%$1914 days ago
BUY94%$121.914 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 29, 10:17 PM UTC