Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 86% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 7 days agoBest bid 98% · best ask 98%
Top holders
- gods-eye89252326738971306739856411528654427522000562472248934410357091987415515344464
- AlAhmeda1326211055864075133719974649484864249770259286643912456278981364786578715890
- mr.ozi1326211055864075133719974649484864249770259286643912456278981364786578715890
- completedegen1326211055864075133719974649484864249770259286643912456278981364786578715890
- KakiBatusik89252326738971306739856411528654427522000562472248934410357091987415515344464
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL98%$337.58 days ago
- BUY2%$18 days ago
- SELL1%$0.78 days ago
- SELL98%$4.910 days ago
- SELL98%$97.710 days ago
- BUY99%$280.911 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 30, 02:15 AM UTC