Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ivan Moraes win the Pernambuco Governor election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? | Polymarket | 54% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 8 days agoBest bid 67% · best ask 69%
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966112908998759755935650544813077123366584979268688574834525771860942192344105877
- Shynomore26130169536314206424330026691309059801606313258854549888155978884747779815313
- lava-lava26130169536314206424330026691309059801606313258854549888155978884747779815313
- Ryxon21112908998759755935650544813077123366584979268688574834525771860942192344105877
- donthackme112908998759755935650544813077123366584979268688574834525771860942192344105877
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL31%$0.18 days ago
- SELL67%$3.49 days ago
- BUY72%$729 days ago
- BUY71%$21.39 days ago
- BUY66%$339 days ago
- BUY65%$3.49 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 29, 11:27 PM UTC