Will Jean-Philippe Tanguy be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced. This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as President of the National Rally following the 2026 Congress. If no such President of the National Rally is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026? | Polymarket | 91% Yes | Open |
| Will Laurent Jacobelli be the next President of the National Rally in 2026? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Hélène Laporte be the next President of the National Rally in 2026? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Will Marine Le Pen be the next President of the National Rally in 2026? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Will Louis Aliot be the next President of the National Rally in 2026? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will David Rachline be the next President of the National Rally in 2026? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Will Sébastien Chenu be the next President of the National Rally in 2026? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 10:24 PM UTC