PolymarketOpen

Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?

Yes87%

No13%

Price checked at Oct 2, 02:42 PM UTC

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24h volume$15.9

7d volume$41.8

30d volume$80.4

Liquidity$123.6

Spread6%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Roman Catholic Church announces the excommunication of any individual or group of individuals subsequent to market creation and by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be information from Pope Leo XIV, official information from the Catholic Church, or a consensus of credible reporting.

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As of Oct 2, 02:44 PM UTC