Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,185,000 and $1,201,000 on September 30?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,137,000 and $1,153,000 on September 30? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,137,000 on September 30? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30? | Polymarket | 95% Yes | Open |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be at least $1,216,000 on September 30? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,201,000 and $1,216,000 on September 30? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 7 days agoBest bid 5% · best ask 8%
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296661913431375079689030209138539141242316989529324429712113231008360897595797732
- LocalHunter41837799549911028468505966424695974999581526672639659105987104597476622428490
- qqqmmmccc41837799549911028468505966424695974999581526672639659105987104597476622428490
- mantou1141837799549911028468505966424695974999581526672639659105987104597476622428490
- LornaPredicts41837799549911028468505966424695974999581526672639659105987104597476622428490
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL94%$4.77 days ago
- BUY6%$0.37 days ago
- BUY6%$1.27 days ago
- SELL92%$9.17 days ago
- SELL92%$4.67 days ago
- SELL92%$4.77 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Sep 29, 10:14 PM UTC