PolymarketOpen

Will Iran hold a presidential election by December 31?

No88%
Yes13%

Price checked at

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$665.1
Spread10%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place. Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution. Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue activity

Holders13
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments2

Best bid 85% · best ask 93%

Top holders

  • AlAhmeda34699878131398047255964746428152597070859086989191923643129765773105663367512
  • AJSV97142562917781954958658950382698528304157558524416740549887712270109060100039
  • Mojito997142562917781954958658950382698528304157558524416740549887712270109060100039
  • bakayo33 - 993434699878131398047255964746428152597070859086989191923643129765773105663367512
  • 0xe3aeb10c729dbef5f382bc229dca0660583d217a97142562917781954958658950382698528304157558524416740549887712270109060100039

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL92%$4.64 days ago
  • SELL92%$4.64 days ago
  • BUY93%$4.75 days ago
  • BUY93%$4.75 days ago
  • SELL91%$111 days ago
  • SELL91%$6.114 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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2 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • JGBgoat22 · 6 months ago

    HA!

  • basedboyzfromthenorth · 7 months ago

    lmao no chance

As of Oct 2, 09:25 PM UTC