PolymarketOpen

Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026?

No100%
Yes0%

Price checked at

Prices have not been checked within the last hour.

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$60
7d volume$1.1K
30d volume$1.6K
Liquidity$2.4K
Spread0%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 17Sep 24Oct 2Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Polymarket57% YesOpen
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Polymarket61% NoOpen
Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders56
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid — · best ask 0%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296654435488371709185116616218909754066274887152989839650261431794835831613519917
  • 0xb92b99249a7de3c246d8583ea2db85484f150a7453097406971476996771150153600241651977227063527235553558280391186867065418287
  • LornaPredicts53097406971476996771150153600241651977227063527235553558280391186867065418287
  • InterestingUser53097406971476996771150153600241651977227063527235553558280391186867065418287
  • tryrktry53097406971476996771150153600241651977227063527235553558280391186867065418287

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL100%$32 days ago
  • BUY0%$14 days ago
  • BUY0%$010 days ago
  • BUY0%$010 days ago
  • BUY0%$010 days ago
  • BUY0%$010 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 2, 10:56 AM UTC