Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026?
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Probability history
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? | Polymarket | 57% Yes | Open |
| Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? | Polymarket | 61% No | Open |
| Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue yesterdayBest bid — · best ask 0%
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296654435488371709185116616218909754066274887152989839650261431794835831613519917
- 0xb92b99249a7de3c246d8583ea2db85484f150a7453097406971476996771150153600241651977227063527235553558280391186867065418287
- LornaPredicts53097406971476996771150153600241651977227063527235553558280391186867065418287
- InterestingUser53097406971476996771150153600241651977227063527235553558280391186867065418287
- tryrktry53097406971476996771150153600241651977227063527235553558280391186867065418287
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Recent trades
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Discussion on Predxy
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As of Oct 2, 10:56 AM UTC