PolymarketOpen

Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?

No57%

Yes44%

Price checked at Oct 1, 10:50 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$1.8K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	$63	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 days ago

Holders23

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Top holders

wallet-account-test94711928708517836951253692831560120202556403241396094428311578687919757493789
rocky4201452300450645197749240419379637798322678445969608818339264600132065596619692063
LornaPredicts94711928708517836951253692831560120202556403241396094428311578687919757493789
AJSV52300450645197749240419379637798322678445969608818339264600132065596619692063
pootytherewardfarmer94711928708517836951253692831560120202556403241396094428311578687919757493789

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL21%$0.223 days ago
SELL76%$3.823 days ago
SELL76%$3.823 days ago
SELL76%$3.823 days ago
SELL76%$4.823 days ago
SELL76%$7.923 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Oct 1, 11:37 AM UTC