PolymarketOpen

Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

No97%
Yes3%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$13K
Spread2%
ResolvesApr 1, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders33
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments13

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296637771098063482557782759023587925182005647917858834307021012608801233406331543
  • Flustered-Convert23502045141356337755902415394418061597925867697678328200893806261352711934215
  • onichan7u723502045141356337755902415394418061597925867697678328200893806261352711934215
  • Gabrielgarciadt23502045141356337755902415394418061597925867697678328200893806261352711934215
  • vsachy23502045141356337755902415394418061597925867697678328200893806261352711934215

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY98%$46.813 days ago
  • BUY6%$2016 days ago
  • BUY4%$216 days ago
  • BUY96%$19.216 days ago
  • BUY98%$97.116 days ago
  • BUY98%$9.816 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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13 comments

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  • hychizen · 7 days ago

    Que en este país hay mucho hippie muchachos

  • Espanol · 2 months ago

    Va a ser difícil echar a Sánchez

  • ScamwiseGamgee · 2 months ago

    A mi me da igual lo que digan, yo voto a Pedro que me ha subido 30 euros la pension

  • grauito · 2 months ago

    Abascal NO; es como renta fija a un año a buen interés.... igual que apostar a que no viene Jesucristo.

  • grauito · 2 months ago

    Yo apuesto todo a Tellado.

  • YiqStake10 · 2 months ago

    Hazlo Abascal

  • CarGena · 2 months ago

    Cuerpo empollon hijo de puta deja de arruinar la economia

  • GenaTheBondKilIer · 2 months ago

    Puente gritando como un cerdo cuando se rompió la pierna fue mítico

  • Greedy-Armour · 3 months ago

    Cool right ?

  • 9uzvgbtubgvz · 3 months ago

    interesting

  • tobias4k · 3 months ago

    Con la oposición de mierda que tiene Pedrito ganará otra vez, y si ve que se le complica se pone a nacionalizar a gente, es un fenómeno en toda regla

  • Prounemployed · 3 months ago

    Anotop!

  • Milin-dc · 3 months ago

    Y Bonilla?

As of Sep 30, 06:59 AM UTC