Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?

Yes90%
No11%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$10.9K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 4, 2026next month

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Washoe County, and the City of Reno.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi permits accelerated determination based on media consensus, while Polymarket specifies credible reporting and official Nevada/Washoe County/City of Reno information, with an April 30, 2027 fallback. The different scheduled resolution times and these source/fallback rules are settlement details, not different questions.
  • KalshiOpen →

    Who will win the 2026 Reno, Nevada mayoral election? Kate Marshall

    If Kate Marshall wins the 2026 Reno, Nevada mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

    read Oct 1, 07:36 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?

    The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Washoe County, and the City of Reno.

    26 holders · 0 comments · read Oct 1, 11:24 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Kathleen Taylor win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?Polymarket90% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders26
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 10% · best ask 11%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296639771805904230566254699434005439234747044730952052559991559415534064521813262
  • HibernatingParasite98071134949735754842659697935390433097517328475327415643159594356435891175274
  • Oklmntrader39771805904230566254699434005439234747044730952052559991559415534064521813262
  • sleepymonkey98071134949735754842659697935390433097517328475327415643159594356435891175274
  • Odd-Relish98071134949735754842659697935390433097517328475327415643159594356435891175274

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As of Oct 2, 03:43 AM UTC