Will Ambient launch a token by March 31, 2027?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ambient officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Ambient will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ambient (https://x.com/ambient_xyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ambient launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Polymarket | 53% Yes | Open |
| Will Ambient launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
| Will Ambient launch a token by September 30, 2027? | Polymarket | 57% Yes | Open |
| Will Ambient launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Polymarket | 56% Yes | Open |
| Will Ambient launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 83% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 09:59 PM UTC