Will Nous Research launch a token by September 30, 2027?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nous Research officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Nous Research will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Nous Research (https://x.com/NousResearch), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nous Research launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 90% No | Open |
| Will Nous Research launch a token by March 31, 2027? | Polymarket | 85% No | Open |
| Will Nous Research launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Polymarket | 75% No | Open |
| Will Nous Research launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Polymarket | 79% No | Open |
| Will Nous Research launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
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2 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- perpcode0072nell · 2 months ago
openclaw >
- alts4life · 3 months ago
shited to web2 I belive
As of Sep 30, 12:46 PM UTC