Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by September 30, 2026?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anwar Ibrahim ceases to be Prime Minister of Malaysia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 8 days agoBest bid 97% · best ask 100%
Top holders
- Immaterial-Secretariat5800467639272285657019860583357216384191266583529722563604388296053114262998
- Impassioned-Guide5800467639272285657019860583357216384191266583529722563604388296053114262998
- leiloumei90693584976730352656238908147073207274495150293575056217868465355083346328125
- b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.90693584976730352656238908147073207274495150293575056217868465355083346328125
- predictingwithmoney90693584976730352656238908147073207274495150293575056217868465355083346328125
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY99%$39.514 days ago
- BUY99%$27.618 days ago
- BUY3%$120 days ago
- BUY99%$10025 days ago
- BUY99%$4028 days ago
- SELL1%$028 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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1 comment
From Polymarket's own thread- ryzq112 · 2 months ago
Other may not know but malaysian should know that it is basically 0 chances that Anwar will be out as PM
As of Sep 29, 09:51 PM UTC