Will Romeu Zema qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Polymarket | 97% Yes | Open |
| Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Polymarket | 99% Yes | Open |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 8 days agoBest bid 1% · best ask 1%
Top holders
- newmasterroshi91453065855609492844204862144923585514107011454091624400764027211402310340082
- Stormy-Mast82970974009009260788038242035699129151676859064305596431284222878917365401919
- Natsan91453065855609492844204862144923585514107011454091624400764027211402310340082
- AJSV82970974009009260788038242035699129151676859064305596431284222878917365401919
- b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.82970974009009260788038242035699129151676859064305596431284222878917365401919
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL1%$0.111 days ago
- SELL1%$0.118 days ago
- SELL1%$0.418 days ago
- SELL99%$6.3last month
- SELL99%$127.8last month
- SELL1%$0.1last month
Discussion on Predxy
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122 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- littledice · 2 months ago
obrigado renanzetes
- CarGena · 2 months ago
Muda, Brasil / Muda, Brasil / Muda de verdade / Bolsonaro, com amor e com coragem
- Bolds · 3 months ago
Nunca nem ouvi falar desse cara ele vai ter só os votos da família dele
- AMERICOW · 3 months ago
i asked them to add, you can ask on discord
- 123mis · 3 months ago
Aleluia ficou sério isso aqui com Renan Santos
- 123mis · 4 months ago
Se não tem Renan, não será levado a sério...
- 123mis · 4 months ago
kkkkkkk relevante=conhecido do vorcaro?
- natansousa · 4 months ago
Apenas candidatos relevantes...
- 123mis · 4 months ago
Cadê o Renann
- petralha · 4 months ago
Cadê o resto dos candidatos do mercado vencedor da eleição presidencial?
- terryvel · 4 months ago
Kd Caiado???
- terryvel · 4 months ago
Caiado
- Skinny-Curio · 4 months ago
lula vai morrer antes, o veio ta podi
- deleteh · 4 months ago
renan santos
- SnowBell10 · 4 months ago
Renan santos
- Drab-Cymbal · 4 months ago
renan santos
- Urano · 4 months ago
Coloquem Renan Santos
- RATCo · 4 months ago
Cadê o Renan?!
- 123mis · 4 months ago
Cadê o Renan Santos gente? que viagem é essa?
- ELJAPARICO · 5 months ago
Cade o nome do Romeu Zema .?!..
As of Sep 29, 08:25 PM UTC