PolymarketOpen

Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?

No76%

Yes25%

Price checked at Oct 2, 07:49 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$10.6K

Spread3%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of either Governor Gavin Newsom or Jennifer Siebel Newsom between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Venue activity

Read from the venue yesterday

Holders29

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments1

Top holders

paddaa112597260335144427891299843114318680918133110167179299957049259638921427371551
Dr.PNL32551232228681227050209807925268505848094924976646260752419694695601690446863
PowerPicker112597260335144427891299843114318680918133110167179299957049259638921427371551
ourdemocracy112597260335144427891299843114318680918133110167179299957049259638921427371551
adasol32551232228681227050209807925268505848094924976646260752419694695601690446863

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Recent trades

SELL9%$0.26 days ago
SELL10%$2.16 days ago
SELL11%$4.86 days ago
BUY88%$17.67 days ago
SELL12%$12.47 days ago
SELL84%$11.29 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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1 comment

From Polymarket's own thread

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paddaa · 26 days ago
why

As of Oct 2, 08:08 PM UTC