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Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

No93%

Yes8%

Price checked at Oct 2, 09:49 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$552.2

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President. The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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As of Oct 2, 10:06 AM UTC