Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Felipe Camarão win the Governor of Maranhão election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will André Luís win the Governor of Maranhão election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Lahesio Bonfim win the Governor of Maranhão election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Enilton Rodrigues win the Governor of Maranhão election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? | Polymarket | 88% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 7 days agoBest bid 23% · best ask 26%
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296663415551342421252394122758291434607116813969449502729576818568921785182277580
- InterestingUser28826800653529419554109948262490302630826613869919631172897805310988017599138
- balabalababalabala28826800653529419554109948262490302630826613869919631172897805310988017599138
- p.p.p.p.p.p28826800653529419554109948262490302630826613869919631172897805310988017599138
- donthackme28826800653529419554109948262490302630826613869919631172897805310988017599138
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL24%$0.58 days ago
- BUY23%$4.912 days ago
- BUY76%$11.412 days ago
- BUY74%$7.415 days ago
- BUY75%$50.115 days ago
- BUY74%$7.315 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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3 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- QMG-CORE · last month
Too many polls saying different things
- YoungAlphaGoat · last month
what happened
- QMG-CORE · last month
Disaster
As of Sep 29, 09:34 PM UTC