Base FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes55%
No45%

Price checked at

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24h volume$172.2
7d volume$1.4K
30d volume$5.7K
Liquidity$23.2K
Spread2%
ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Base's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Base doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are identical; Polymarket lists a formal resolution timestamp, while PredictFun does not, which does not change the question.
  • PredictFunOpen →

    Base FDV above $1B one day after launch?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Base's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Base doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

    read Sep 29, 05:11 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Base FDV above $1B one day after launch?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Base's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Base doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

    49 holders · 24 comments · read Sep 29, 03:28 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?Polymarket64% NoOpen
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?Polymarket86% NoOpen
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?Polymarket70% NoOpen
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?Polymarket89% NoOpen
Base FDV above $3B one day after launch?Polymarket58% NoOpen
Base FDV above $5B one day after launch?Polymarket68% NoOpen
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Polymarket51% NoOpen
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Polymarket61% YesOpen
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?Polymarket85% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders49
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments24

Best bid 44% · best ask 46%

Top holders

  • balthazar54899383239414907074095067184016908597915710563850017137779998758230172274402
  • MaxEnt21149932167247643891873954333178478673685843143914015745055322840585145065748
  • GG111GG21149932167247643891873954333178478673685843143914015745055322840585145065748
  • sansui121149932167247643891873954333178478673685843143914015745055322840585145065748
  • Hyperlong21149932167247643891873954333178478673685843143914015745055322840585145065748

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

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Discussion on Predxy

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24 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • alts4life · 3 months ago

    it will take years probably

  • redhaze · 3 months ago

    launch? in this bear market ha?

  • elonmuskka · 3 months ago

    above 10B fdv on day one

  • atonementguy · 4 months ago

    soon it will

  • atonementguy · 4 months ago

    make fdv above 20b plz

  • vakt7 · 4 months ago

    bring it ser

  • vakt7 · 4 months ago

    let the base rain

  • pinkcity · 4 months ago

    do it

  • pinkcity · 4 months ago

    base is the alpha

  • armaan07 · 4 months ago

    it will , maybe in q2-q3

  • Kapilshow447 · 5 months ago

    base will launch or not

  • salmankat83 · 5 months ago

    base 20b fdv

  • td0036 · 6 months ago

    2B easy YES 2B easy YES

  • Cyber-Reborn · 6 months ago

    I really like the Base project. I hope the launch comes early.

  • rexbragz0 · 6 months ago

    yes you are!

  • BearGrizzzy · 6 months ago

    2B easy YES

  • tradexplorer · 7 months ago

    introduce 250m, 500m and 1 bn as welll

  • CryptoAll · 8 months ago

    2b easy bro

  • 3721x · 8 months ago

    50b

  • nakwal · 9 months ago

    base noo

As of Sep 29, 08:22 PM UTC