Will Requião Filho win the Governor of Paraná election?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael Greca win the Governor of Paraná election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Guto Silva win the Governor of Paraná election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Alexandre Curi win the Governor of Paraná election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Beto Richa win the Governor of Paraná election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Enio Verri win the Governor of Paraná election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Luiz França win the Governor of Paraná election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | Polymarket | 79% Yes | Open |
| Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election? | Polymarket | 84% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 2 days agoBest bid 98% · best ask 98%
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296614391833723171280170359279112430766128730121443836918283000370287628119427563
- Shallow-Lyocell-Leaf60755671257194524215403626055586076048149890192804409412736579332211541797129
- Seeking-Alpha0160755671257194524215403626055586076048149890192804409412736579332211541797129
- LornaPredicts60755671257194524215403626055586076048149890192804409412736579332211541797129
- 0f7l492ysa4r360755671257194524215403626055586076048149890192804409412736579332211541797129
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY2%$2.92 days ago
- BUY2%$1.25 days ago
- BUY1%$6.55 days ago
- SELL0%$0.65 days ago
- SELL1%$11.46 days ago
- BUY99%$5.47 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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13 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Tremendous-Duty · 23 days ago
Moro is a big household name in Brazil but actually such an asshole, It's a shame Paranenses are going to vote out the party with the biggest approval ratings in the last 30 years in favor of someone who doesn't even know the names of all the counties in the state🤣
- FilibusterTerminator · last month
A wild Sandro Alex has appeared
- QMG-CORE · last month
Moro feels cheap?
- Dental-Obsidian · last month
Add Sandro Alex
- gugs272 · 2 months ago
Vai sobrar nada pro beta
- gioffre · 2 months ago
Sandro Alex is still missing
- Sumonerbk · 2 months ago
Sandro Alex ?
- 123mis · 3 months ago
Where is Luiz França???
- CesareBorgia · 3 months ago
He'll be the winner
- nofear763 · 3 months ago
There is a candidate missing. Sandro Alex.
- 123mis · 3 months ago
O único candidato que é certeza que vai participar vcs não colocaram, CADÊ LUIZ FRANÇA?
- 123mis · 3 months ago
Só esqueceram do futuro governador... Luiz França...
- 123mis · 4 months ago
Cadê Luiz França??
As of Sep 29, 08:31 PM UTC