Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Will Kenny Kunene be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will David Makhura be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Dada Morero be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Lukhona Mnguni be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | Polymarket | 90% No | Open |
| Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | Polymarket | 86% No | Open |
| Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | Polymarket | 67% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
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7 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Snowwang1999 · last month
Hi Guys looks like JHB dont have enough people use this one.
- SiyaMG · 2 months ago
People shall decide but time may be running out for our beloved City
- SaRS3 · 2 months ago
Delusional
- Envious-Concern · 2 months ago
I don't think there is enough people betting currently. A whale bought up a lot of Zille No shares. Good time to top up on the Madame's Yes shares imo
- Diegochevarin · 2 months ago
only the DA will save South Africa
- SankofaSignals · 2 months ago
Interesting times - I wonder if this market will be used as a proxy for polling.
- KabeloMotha · 3 months ago
welele
As of Sep 29, 10:30 PM UTC