PolymarketOpen

Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?

Yes85%

No15%

Price checked at Oct 1, 12:28 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$13.3K

Spread3%

ResolvesDec 23, 2027next year

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Italy is scheduled to hold general elections by December 22, 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Futuro Nazionale receives at least the listed percentage of total valid votes in the next Italian general elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only the vote totals from the Italy (excluding Valle d’Aosta) will be considered in this market. Votes from outside Italy or from the Valle d’Aosta constituency will not count. If the specified party runs as a joint list (lista congiunta / simbolo congiunto) with any other parties in the next Italian general elections, the total votes received by the joint list will be considered the votes received by the specified party for the purposes of this market. Percentage of total valid votes will be calculated by dividing the total number of valid votes received by the specified party or its joint list by the total number of valid votes in the specified election. This market will not consider the valid vote totals of any coalition (coalizione) that the specified party joins. Only votes received by the specified party, or any applicable joint list, will count for resolution of this market. If the specified party changes its name or otherwise reconstitutes in a way which functionally represents the same entity in the next Italian general elections, this market will consider the new name or reconstitution as an extension of the original specified party. If Italy does not hold general elections, or the results of the next Italian general elections are not known definitively, by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified party disbands by, or otherwise does not contest the next Italian general elections, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Italian Government (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue activity

Read from the venue yesterday

Holders35

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments1

Best bid 83% · best ask 87%

Top holders

rabbit00770275807435072661583129751816611148007162857673024867358696201549522060953595
davidino01115008169661071783668699773876020850036430320654869304446926574794799200662320
drleogarcia115008169661071783668699773876020850036430320654869304446926574794799200662320
NeoSay10115008169661071783668699773876020850036430320654869304446926574794799200662320
Mature-Monsoon115008169661071783668699773876020850036430320654869304446926574794799200662320

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY14%$73 days ago
BUY87%$6.813 days ago
BUY87%$8.713 days ago
BUY85%$4014 days ago
BUY86%$516 days ago
BUY16%$9.220 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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1 comment

From Polymarket's own thread

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NeoSay10 · 3 months ago
we all know that if we vote now he will get 5-6% but in a year everything can change, even getting expelled from his party because is a total shithead

As of Oct 1, 12:57 AM UTC